How Big Could Tesla Get?

Goldman Sachs Forecasts Tesla Sales Could Double GMs 

                         Source:  Tesla News CEO Elon Musk

15 Million Car Sales a Year by 2040

Goldman Sachs is forecasting that Tesla will sell 15 million cars per year by 2040.  That would be double the size of GM sales.  Last year, Tesla sold 368,000 cars.  Not only did Goldman increase the sales forecast.  It upped its forecast for Tesla financials and its share price target for Tesla to $780/per share.  That would be the highest share price on Wall Street and Tesla is already the most valuable automaker.

Innovation Pays

Goldman says if Tesla maintains its 15 to high 20s% market share range in the electric vehicle market, it could be selling 15 million cars a year by 2040.  Goldman is forecasting that Tesla will maintain its leadership in the EV market because of two key reasons:

  • Tesla offers a full ecosystem of products to consumers including solar roofing systems for homes that also provide energy to charge your car, fast charging technology and advanced storage systems for the energy
  • Tesla has a unique "integrated model" platform approach with parts overlapping for use in key products like the Model 3 and Model Y.
Synergies

These synergies are and will provide Tesla with significant financial advantages.  Goldman also cites Tesla's expected full, self-driving revenues which are just starting to unfold and its significant battery cost savings.

Big Travel Breakthroughs 2020's

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